novari
  • Explore
  • Live
  • Social
  • Theory
TrendingSportsPoliticsCorporate & ESGMacroCulture
NovariNovari

The global consensus measurement platform. Expertise-weighted forecasts and collective intelligence, distilled into the Novari Score.

Product

  • Home
  • Explore
  • Live

Community

  • Social
  • Profile
  • Leaderboard

Company

  • About
  • Theory
  • Terms
  • Privacy

© 2026 Novari. All rights reserved.

TermsPrivacy
ExploreLiveSocialTheory

About Novari

The first continuously updated, multi-domain consensus measurement system.

What is Novari?

Novari captures what the world believes and distills it into a single authoritative number: the Novari Score. Through expertise-weighted aggregation of millions of forecasts and ranked preferences, Novari produces a measurable, real-time consensus signal across any domain — from geopolitics and finance to sports and entertainment.

How it works

Novari operates on two consensus tracks:

  • Predict: Participate in hard consensus markets with verifiable outcomes. The current probability is always visible — your participation moves the price and sharpens the forecast.
  • Vote: Express your opinion on soft consensus questions — rankings, sentiment, and debates. Results are hidden until you participate, ensuring independent expression and clean data.
  • Build expertise: Your accuracy is tracked over time. Climb from Novice to Superforecaster, join the Oracle Network, and let your forecasts carry more weight in the aggregate consensus.

Expertise-weighted consensus

Every Novari Score is produced by an expertise-weighted algorithm where historically accurate forecasters carry more influence. New accounts start with near-zero weight — historical accuracy is the proof of legitimacy. The result is a consensus signal that converges faster and with lower variance than any equal-weight system.

Any domain. One standard.

Novari launches with sports, but the consensus engine is domain-agnostic. Any question with a community that cares about the answer — elections, awards, economic indicators, technology trends — can produce a Novari Score. The data itself is the long-term asset: a continuously updated, demographically representative measure of what the world believes.

Explore consensus